Projection of hydrological responses to changing future climate of Upper Awash Basin using QSWAT model

Environmental Systems Research

Table 4 Future annual trend of climate under RCP4.5 and RCP 8.5 between 2020 and 2100

Variables	Scenarios	*MK_Z	**MMK_Z	Sen’s Slope	^Changing Point (Pettit)
Precipitation (rainfall)	RCP4.5	5.39	4.54	1.69	2055
Precipitation (rainfall)	RCP8.5	9.38	9.38	5.18	2067
Maximum Temperature	RCP4.5	5.34	4.59	0.01	2059
Maximum Temperature	RCP8.5	10.35	11.14	0.02	2054
Minimum Temperature	RCP4.5	7.79	7.79	0.01	2058
Minimum Temperature	RCP8.5	11.25	10.54	0.023	2059

*MK_Z = Mann Kendall Z-value, **MMK_Z = modified Mann Kendall Z-value, and ^Changing Point = the year during which the transition takes place.