| |
MPI-ESM-LR
|
MIROC5
|
HadGEM2-ES
|
GFDL-ESM2M
|
EC-EARTH
|
Ensemble mean
|
|---|
|
Z-test
|
Sen’s slope (°C/year)
|
Z-test
|
Sen’s slope (°C/year)
|
Z-test
|
Sen’s slope (°C/year)
|
Z-test
|
Sen’s slope (°C/year)
|
Z-test
|
Sen’s slope (°C/year)
|
Z-test
|
Sen’s slope (°C/year)
|
|---|
|
January
|
3.55*
|
0.03
|
2.77*
|
0.05
|
5.38*
|
0.04
|
2.09*
|
0.03
|
5.22*
|
0.04
|
5.56*
|
0.04
|
|
February
|
3.46*
|
0.03
|
2.06*
|
0.04
|
4.88*
|
0.04
|
2.06*
|
0.02
|
4.38*
|
0.04
|
5.07*
|
0.04
|
|
March
|
3.36*
|
0.04
|
2.34*
|
0.04
|
3.92*
|
0.05
|
2.49*
|
0.02
|
3.61*
|
0.05
|
5.28*
|
0.04
|
|
April
|
3.92*
|
0.05
|
2.09*
|
0.06
|
3.42*
|
0.04
|
0.51
|
0.00
|
2.68*
|
0.06
|
5.19*
|
0.05
|
|
May
|
4.26*
|
0.08
|
0.79
|
0.02
|
2.22*
|
0.05
|
1.84
|
0.03
|
1.47
|
0.03
|
4.08*
|
0.04
|
|
June
|
2.71*
|
0.06
|
− 0.45
|
− 0.01
|
4.38*
|
0.08
|
0.05
|
0.00
|
1.84
|
0.04
|
3.30*
|
0.04
|
|
July
|
0.91
|
0.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.90*
|
0.04
|
1.53
|
0.02
|
1.29
|
0.02
|
2.62*
|
0.02
|
|
August
|
2.34*
|
0.03
|
2.00*
|
0.04
|
2.46*
|
0.03
|
3.27*
|
0.04
|
0.48
|
0.00
|
4.26*
|
0.03
|
|
September
|
1.81
|
0.03
|
2.37*
|
0.04
|
2.65*
|
0.04
|
0.82
|
0.02
|
2.53*
|
0.04
|
4.17*
|
0.04
|
|
October
|
1.81
|
0.03
|
2.49*
|
0.05
|
3.33*
|
0.04
|
2.00
|
0.04
|
1.72
|
0.03
|
4.73*
|
0.03
|
|
November
|
3.15*
|
0.04
|
2.49*
|
0.03
|
4.20*
|
0.05
|
2.49*
|
0.04
|
2.09*
|
0.03
|
4.73*
|
0.04
|
|
December
|
3.67*
|
0.03
|
3.24*
|
0.03
|
4.54*
|
0.04
|
2.77*
|
0.04
|
3.67*
|
0.03
|
5.22*
|
0.03
|
|
Dry season
|
3.92*
|
0.03
|
3.36*
|
0.04
|
5.41*
|
0.04
|
2.93*
|
0.03
|
3.77*
|
0.03
|
5.78*
|
0.04
|
|
Short rainy season
|
5.00*
|
0.05
|
2.28*
|
0.04
|
4.29*
|
0.05
|
2.25*
|
0.02
|
3.73*
|
0.05
|
5.78*
|
0.05
|
|
Main rainy season
|
2.49*
|
0.04
|
0.76
|
0.01
|
4.48*
|
0.05
|
2.31*
|
0.02
|
2.71*
|
0.03
|
3.89*
|
0.03
|
|
Annual
|
4.14*
|
0.04
|
3.02*
|
0.02
|
5.59*
|
0.05
|
3.36*
|
0.03
|
3.95*
|
0.03
|
5.90*
|
0.04
|
- * Statistically significant at 0.05% level
