Environmental Systems Research

Table 7 Probability of detection (POD) (1991–2010)

From: The outlook of Ethiopian long rain season from the global circulation model

Model	Excess	Deficit	Normal	Combined
Bccr	0	0.333	0.6364	0.45
Cccma	0	0	0.4546	0.25
Echam	0	0.333	0.7273	0.55
Giss	0.33	0.167	0.5455	0.40
Inmcm	0	0.50	0.7273	0.55
Ipsl	0	0	0.5455	0.30

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